Tag Archives: SPAC

SPACs in 2021

Originally posted as a Twitter thread on February 14, 2021


Why are there so many SPACs?

Answer 1: Great economics for sponsor (average of 20% of money raised upon deSPAC / merging with a target, Eg $400M SPAC = $80M). It’s like a separate carried interest pool for each company and liquid since already public!

Answer 2: Great economics for investors assuming 0% interest rates (get 100% of your money back if you don’t like the deal! Get warrants just in case you do!). There is no reason NOT to invest in every SPAC at IPO if your alternative is a Bank of America checking account.

Answer 3: TINA (There Is No Alternative), especially given investor inability to access private companies.

However, it’s clear there are way more SPACs than targets (b/c answer #1 in particular). In which case the beneficiary will be…investment bankers who raise the SPACs 🙂

How IPOs Work

Originally posted as a Twitter thread on August 28, 2020


There’s been a lot of misinformation about IPOs — particularly around the narrative of “intentional underpricing” and subsequent IPO pops / “money left on the table.” IPOs aren’t perfect, but the problem isn’t the pop — a sideshow caused by quirky supply/demand imbalances.

The things to fix are aggregating the most demand, blurring the lines between private and public for a seamless transition to being public, and more thoughtful lockup releases, while also ensuring that a company is sufficiently well capitalized.

Many are celebrating SPACs and Direct Listings, which both have their place as valuable tools, as the “death” of the IPO *because* of a misunderstanding of what causes a pop. A price without a quantity is not a price: block sales happen at a discount, M&A at a premium.

But today, an IPO remains the best way to raise a large block of primary capital. It *should* improve, but the way to measure improvement is not pop against low float, but on aggregation of the most demand (*all* investors) in a way that sufficiently capitalizes the company.

There’s a lot more data and examples to back this up in this piece which @skupor and I put together. It’s long but hopefully shows exactly the dynamics and game theory in play around how a company goes public and what’s in a price:
https://a16z.com/2020/08/28/in-defense-of-the-ipo/